Friday, November 07, 2008

Blogs play ball in the first true Internet election - Polls Play Vital 'Predictive' Role

In what many are considering the first true Internet election, pollsters and professional prognosticators weren't the only ones trying their hands at electoral map predictions. Tens of thousands of people created their own scenarios on the Yahoo! News Political Dashboard. If you consider Missouri as having gone to McCain, then 32 people of the thousands that created a scenario got the election right.

NVDL: Not sure why we can't vote more frequently using cellphones and computers on daily issues.
clipped from news.yahoo.com
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Silver's Electoral College map wasn't far off either. This graphic below, shows a comparison of what he projected vs. what actually happened. Unless I'm looking at this map wrong, the only thing they projected incorrectly was Indiana.
Emanuel accepts job as Obama chief of staff
The whole group was collectively off a bit on McCain's numbers. The Real Clear Politics average put McCain's total at 44.5 percent, a point and a half under what he ultimately received.
Pew Research and Rasmussen Reports get gold stars though. They nailed both candidates' numbers.
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