SHOOT: While it says something about educated South Africans with internet access (that SAElections.co.za have the ANC leading by more than double over Cope with the DA trailing - 24 000/10 000/7 000 respectively), it is difficult to believe that the ANC has lost just 2% of its support base since the last election.
Ipsos-Markinor predicts the ANC will go from 69% to 67%. SHOOT thinks these figures are unlikely simply because so much has deteriorated in the country since the last election, and COPE alone would have caused more than a 2% shift in the ANC's fortunes. Like the Rand, I am jittery about the country's future, but am optimistic that the two-thirds era is over.
Johannesburg - The ANC will retain its two-thirds majority, according to an Ipsos-Markinor poll published in Beeld newspaper on Tuesday.
Opposition parties did not use the opportunity to sway undecided voters, researchers found in the poll which was conducted for Media24.
Ipsos-Markinor analyst Anneke Greyling said the results, based on interviews with 3 500 eligible voters, showed that the African National Congress might have lost some support, but would still retain a two-thirds majority.
It predicted that the ANC would get 67% of the vote as opposed to its 69% in general elections in 2004.
Its predictions for other parties are: DA (13%, up from 12% in the last elections), Cope (11%), IFP (3.5%, down from 7%), ID (1.5%, down from 1.7%), UDM (1%, down from 2%), ACDP (1%, down from 2%) and the FF+ (1%, the same as in the last elections).
|
No comments:
Post a Comment