Thursday, November 22, 2007

Internet: Excess Demand Will Fatally Clog The Tubes Unless New Global Infrastructures Developed (WIRED)

A new study by analyst Nemertes Research Group says that by 2010, increasing internet traffic will fatally clog the tubes. Several numbers are kicked around. For instance, the study says that $137 billion will have to be invested in worldwide broadband infrastructure to meet demand.

Video (including YouTube), VoIP and BitTorrent are blamed, and the study warns of the coming apocalypse: "The [...] study is evidence the exaflood is coming." Predictions include internet brownouts and slow connections: "it may take more than one attempt to confirm an online purchase or it may take longer to download the latest video from YouTube." (so, no real change there).

By Charlie Sorrel

NVDL: Excess demand, as in all things, merely means that it will take longer to get what we want, or we may have to go without it for long (but potentially just temporary) periods. This is also true for other resources, such as fuel and all the rest. But this is an interesting metaphor: excessive human demand to plug into a sort of digitised global consciousness. And there's not enough connectivity to go round. Makes sense. But maybe it is necessary that we start to see the human blitzkrieg slowing down. Perhaps things will slow down enough so that people may finally and collectively leave their desks and walk outside, feeling the sunshine in their faces - or the rain.

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