Wednesday, May 06, 2009

Pandemic nears : Statistics could indicate infection is a fraction of real H1N1 number

BLOOMBERG: Mexico has reported 942 cases, including 29 deaths, while the U.S. has 403 cases and two deaths, officials in those countries said. Canada has 165 cases.

Those numbers may represent a fraction of the total cases, as more illnesses are reported and health labs continue to test thousands of samples taken early in the outbreak.

Few with swine flu are older than 60, and the median age is 16.
Swine flu is suspected in 44 U.S. states, and the infected probably number in the thousands, health officials said. Even if symptoms are mild, the ease with which the new virus spreads makes it a threat, according to the CDC.

SHOOT: The threat is far from over; in fact it has just begun. Expect the WHO to declare Phase 6 today or tomorrow.
clipped from www.bloomberg.com

Countries that haven’t seen cases should prepare for
outbreaks, Richard Besser, acting director of the U.S. Centers
for Disease Control and Prevention, said yesterday. He also
reversed U.S. school-closure recommendations that shut 468,000
students out of classes yesterday, saying schools should reopen
and sick children should stay home.

Disease trackers are monitoring 57 cases in Spain and 27 in
the U.K. to determine whether there’s evidence the virus has
established itself outside the U.S., Canada and Mexico, the
three countries struck first and hardest. Such a finding would
prompt the WHO to declare a pandemic, the first since 1968, the
agency said.

“We continue to see an increase in cases reported by
countries,” Keiji Fukuda, assistant director-general of health,
security and environment, told reporters in Geneva yesterday.
“It is clear that we are seeing severe illness in at least a
couple of countries.”

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