To be sure, this is a major recession and its downside risks in the midst of a highly volatile financial market environment shouldn't be underestimated. There are reasons, though, to believe that its severity and length will ultimately be contained by an unprecedented array of economic policy measures, some already in place, others in the pipeline. - Yahoo
NVDL: I tend to believe it will be more severe than the 'experts' lead us to believe. This is because we are not dealing with a financial crisis in isolation, and also because the financial crisis isn't just about bad credit. What exacerbated this was cheap and abundant energy became expensive and less abundant. There are also other strains on the world's food and water systems, like climate change, pollution and over population.
NVDL: I tend to believe it will be more severe than the 'experts' lead us to believe. This is because we are not dealing with a financial crisis in isolation, and also because the financial crisis isn't just about bad credit. What exacerbated this was cheap and abundant energy became expensive and less abundant. There are also other strains on the world's food and water systems, like climate change, pollution and over population.
clipped from finance.yahoo.com
However, the fact that the recession is now already 12 months old, and clearly not approaching its trough yet, raises the distinct prospect that it will exceed the length of the 1973-75 and 1981-82 recessions (both at 16 months), making it the longest since the Great Depression (43 months, from August 1929 to March 1933). |
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