Thursday, July 09, 2009

Nobel Memorial Prize winning economist Prof Joseph Stiglitz calls South Africa's Finance Minister Pravin Gordhan's policy 'dumb'

SHOOT: The policy being inflation targeting. Inflation targeting implies holding wages stable, which means you're saying, essentially, "job losses' are fine. In a country like South Africa, where they're promising to ADD 500 000 jobs, you've got people downing tool nationwide, and people threatening to nationalise mines just to save jobs. There's already 40% unemployment (the USA is getting hysterical over 9.5%) - think inflation targeting is a brilliant strategy. For a small subset perhaps, like the rich. It's certainly not in the national interest, and additional unemployment will worsen social problems like er....crime. Yes, that's another little something worth remembering, worth putting on the radar.
Acting as if low consumer-price inflation was necessary and almost sufficient for economic stability was a mistake, Prof Joseph Stiglitz said during a visit to South Africa.

Nobel Memorial Prize winning economist Prof Joseph Stiglitz reiterated his stance that the "rigid" application of inflation targeting by central bankers had contributed to the onset of the current economic crisis and that containing inflation needed to be balanced with other concerns, such as sustaining growth and maintaining financial stability.

It was, therefore, at times, "absurd" to place the full burden of containing such prices on interest rates. "In some cases bringing inflation down through the raising interest rates was akin to the "cure being worse than the disease", as wage inflation was brought under control at the expense of job losses.

Stiglitz's censure comes at a time when some economists, supported by South Africa's largest labour federation, the Congress of South African Trade Unions, were intensifying calls for the South African Reserve Bank (SARB) to be released from its single mandate of maintaining inflation within a target band of between 3% and 6%.

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