Monday, August 29, 2005

Look at the price at the top: nearly $4!


 Posted by PicasaTim Flaherty, visiting for a week with his family from the Los Angeles area, fills the tank on his golf cart with gas priced at about $4.00 per gallon at the only station on Catalina Island at Avalon off the coast of Southern California, Friday, Aug. 26, 2005. The use of full-size vehicles on Catalina is severely restricted so gas-powered golf carts are ubiquitous. Fuel prices for both vehicles and boats have been traditionally higher on Catalina than on the Mainland. (AP Photo/Reed Saxon)

Katrina


The eyes of the world will soon be focussed on New Orleans, on the Gulf Coast of Louisianna, in America, where a monster class 5 Hurricane (the highest) packing 175 mile per hour winds, and creating 28 foot waves, will unleash itself on an urban centre and surrounding landscape that is largely below sea level.

The president has given the order for an evacuation. That's a mandatory evacuation, not optional. Local authorities have been given permission to commandeer vehicles if necessary. People unable to leave are being housed in a stadium that can seat 70 000. Those without a car, and unable to get a place in the stadium, and unable to leave (the airport and local rail stations are currently abandoned) face an unknown peril advancing on them by the hour.

To make matters worse, this is oil and natural gas country, and significant flood damage will make the area toxic if fuel and other reservoirs (suich as septic tanks) are destroyed.

The oil price going above $70 now, in August, is a virtual certainty. This is because at least a quarter of America's fuel output is pumped out of this part of the Gulf.

At least 42 percent of daily Gulf oil production, 20 percent of daily Gulf natural gas output and 8.5 percent of national refining capacity was shut on Sunday, producers and refiners said.

Prices at the pump have already reached another record in America (up 83 cents in since January, to an average of $2.65).

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Kona Wannabe's



I have followed this year's Ironman Korea with interest for 3 reasons.
Number one, international sports model Grace McClure was competing and I was interested to see if she had the brawn to match her beauty. Turns out she did. She had a solid race, ending 12th among the woman, in 11:36:55. That's excellent!

Number two, morbid curiosity. I wanted to see how two other guys who I can best describe as rivals would do in this race. On two occasions the Korea Ironman turned on me like a snake, just as I was coming into peak condition. And after these guys saw me in a half Ironman, doing well (but, they snickered, we're sure we can do better)they duplicated everything I was doing, from training rides, to races, to clothing, to the dream of going to Kona (where the World Ironman Championships are held). They also made it very obvious that they were going to beat me. That's fine, I enjoy competition. It will be interesting if we find the same Ironman race and are all perfectly prepared for it, it will be interesting to see the result.

An American guy who also bought into the Kona Dream posted 1 or 2 months of enthusiastic workouts on Beginner Triathlete, and in the Long Term Goals column, John wrote, in big purple writing, KONA KONA KONA KONA. JD did a good job to enter and actually complete the race. But 15:26:21 is not close to the ballpark of qualifying for Kona, it's closer to the cut off (at 17:00).

Ironman is a great leveller. You can talk the talk, even try to walk the walk, but if there is a little error in your preparation, in your thinking, in what you're doing, in manifests big time in the Ironman. Ironman reveals your personal reality to the world, and importantly, to yourself.
But whether you have a good race or not, anyone who finishes, is a winner. In completing this gruelling event, the self knowledge expands, and a humility sets in which is worth more than any victory, Hawaii slot or personal best time. Finishing an Ironman is simply being the best person you can be, in a sense, being the strong, tough, hardened person, that we all can be. Not tough as in military tough. Tough in the resilient strength. Healthy tough. And centred, and alive, and awake; appreciative of our bodies and how we operate in this big old world.

I'd like to know what happened to South African Glen Gore, who won the swim, but dropped out on the bike at about 3 and a half hours, which is just about exactly where I dropped out in 2002 (at 100km on the bike, suffering from a bleeding, burst eardrum and the exhaustion of flu that wouldn't let me go).

Bernard and Andrew spent around 9 months training in New Zealand, doing over 200km training rides and basically getting into peak shape for Korea. I mentioned to a friend of mine that I thought, despite all this preparation, they'd have a poor shot at doing well in Korea, because firstly they were making a transition from mid-winter training to Koreas extremely tough, hot humid summer.

And secondly, they came here to start English teaching jobs. The Ironman is at the end of August and they both arrived in June, which left 2 whole months of training left to fill. July would have been better, staying in Jeju for a week before the race in August would have been ideal. You can't change countries, and expect to be able to train when you don't know where the routes, or gyms, or pools are, and you also have to transition into a job. If either of these guys had pulled this off, I would have called it a miracle; a Lance Armstrong order of magnitude miracle.

Even if they had pulled off a second decent Ironman, qualifying would mean flying to Hawaii and having to do a third, in one year. Quite a dumb plan for your first year of Ironman, but possibly a brave one.

And I thought I may have been wrong. The film In Good Company illustrates very well how an old hand gets shown up by the young up and coming boss, who fires the older man's colleagues, tries to change the way things had been running successfully for 20 years. So at one point the older Quaid says to his daughter, "I need to change." We need to be constantly adaptable to be successful. But youthful vigor is no substitute for wisdom and rationality, and it's the brash upstart that needs to be the most flexible and the most awake. Sheer enthusiasm without a succinct strategy is not enough, sad to say. And in the end, the young boss loses his job and the older man is in a position to offer him a job, this time in the appropriate real world.

As I say, I made have been wrong in my assessment. But I wasn't. Andrew and Bernard came in together well outside the target time for the last slots to Hawaii (about 10:20-10:30), and a few minutes ahead of Grace McClure. They were in 103rd and 104th positions respectively, which means a Kona slot is not hanging in the balance.
Their times show that they probably lost a lot of fitness over the last few weeks, and swam too hard, then suffered on the bike and run. Their times are virtually identical (Bernard's swim transition is probably an error). In my last Ironman I did a 6 hour cycle on 2 months preparation, on a windy, hot and hilly course, so a 5:45 on 6-9 months preparation is below par. There is only 1 minute difference in their bikes times (over 180km) so I wonder whether they drafted each other on the bike again, like they did in Tongyeong?

11:19:13 Hutchings Andrew Rodney S:0:53:42 0:07:32 C:5:46:22 0:04:15 R:4:39:09

11:19:13 Adams Bernard John S:0:53:25 0:14:13 C:5:45:20 0:03:25 R:4:40:28

Third Reason I watched this race was to consider the results, and the weather, and assess whether I'd made the right decision to avoid this race in future. If things don't work out twice in a row in the same event, I think you're a stickler for punishment by attempting it a third time. Something like Ironman anyway.
When I was in Jeju last year, I thought it is an incredibly risky setup having a race like this in the corridor of Typhoons, and run at the height of Typhoon seasons. There's enough risk as it is to train for the Ironman without having acts of God out there wreaking havoc, and blowing away all those months of hard work and toil under the sun.
So I've scatched the Korea Ironman off my event list, permanently. I enjoyed the South African event, but even there it can get very very windy if the weather turns on you.
Choosing the right Ironman venue is important. Choosing the same one over and over is not the bnest way to prove persistance in the face of adversity.
There are other things that require persistance, as Edison demonstrated with his 1000+ attempts at getting the right filament for the lightbulb, and KFC's Colonel Sanders and Walt Disney with their hundreds of pitches and visits to various banks.
My version of the lightbulb is submitting manuscripts and articles.

I will make my next attempt at a Kona slot, in the March 2006 Ironman in South Africa.
I should say now though, that expenses may preclude me from even going to the world champiinship, even if I do qualify. For me, qualification is the goal. My strategy, put simply, is to begin serious training in November, when I arrive in South Africa and the beginning of summer there.

I got one of these yesterday. Posted by Picasa

Sunday, August 28, 2005

Korean Ironman, Cycle Top 10

Men's Top Ten off the bike...

Here's the the top ten - note time of day of arrival follows country...

1. Patrick Vernay - NCD - 12:38
2. Jonas Colting - SWE- 12:50
3. Hubert Hammerl - AUT - 12:54
4, Byung-Hoon Park - KOR - 12:55
5. Scott Green - AUS - 1:00
6. Shigenobu Ikegata - JAP - 1:01
7. Jonathan Leger - BEL - 1:02
8. Pierre Jander - GER - 1:10
9. Iadashi IIda - JAP - 1:16
10. Barry Miller - AUS - 1:19

So we've 41 minutes between first and tenth.
06:18

Review: In Good Company


Telling the truth, when everyone is being vague or deceitful, can be a revolutionary act.
Finding someone real, no, someone genuine, when everyone around you is artificial, is precious and valuable. That's what this film is like. The first movie I have seen in a long time that actually conveys values, and principles, whilst being entertaining and light and difficult and funny at the same time. This is because it renders life so well.

I studied advertising, so I can appreciate when people crawl into their chameleon skin, and when they have the courage to say what they really think or believe. Much of advertising, including advertising people talking to advertising people, is spin. There's lots of adspeak, like: you rock, and love ya, and this is money. Nothing really exists unless someone says it does, and things are twisted and untwisted to make sense out of nonsense. You know, however you twist it, you can't make sense of nonsense. If you really think about it, how can you really sell Coca Cola, a nonsense drink, full of poison. You find some nonsense that looks attractive. You make a nice song, and nice people smiling, or polar bears or santa claus looking like the world is a happier place with this product in it. Have you ever thought about it? Is it really?
Sodas are one of the main culprits behind obesity, tooth decay, mood swings and getting distracted....where was I?

Living as an expat for an extended length of time, in a foreign country, as I've done, also creates a desire for meaningful relationships and conversations. This film is about the value of meaningful communication, and not just blather and sucking up to hype (epitomised by Teddy K).

So what you'll like about this movie is how the young advertising guy learns from the always likable Dennis Quaid how to be a genuine person.
How the daughter, Scarlett Johanson makes some grown up decisions.
And how puffed up and shallow people in the office, in time, lose their place to real people, with real ideas, who produce real hard work and real results in a real life.

Carter Duryea: Dan, you seem to have the perfect marriage. How do you do it?
Dan Foreman: You just pick the right one to be in the foxhole with, and then when you're outside of the foxhole you keep your dick in your pants.
Carter Duryea: That's poetic.
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Top 10 in Jeju Ironman Swim

3 Gore Glen RSA M Pro 0:48:02
5 Hammerl Hubert AUT M Pro 0:48:06
2 Colting Jonas SWE M Pro 0:48:08
1 Vernay Patrick NCD M Pro 0:48:11
33 Suzuki Kenta JPN M 18-24 0:50:22
9 Ikegata Shigenobu JPN M Pro 0:50:48
57 Mera Yukihisa JPN M 25-29 0:53:00
18 Marangon Lisa AUS W Pro 0:53:17
22 Jander Pierre, Matthias GER M 18-24 0:53:17
8 Iida Tadashi JPN M Pro 0:53:22

Not sure why my desktop icon is showing sunny weather. It's absolutely gray. Drizzly and smoky. Perfect day to stay in and read a book or watch a movie. Posted by Picasa

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Those who can make you believe absurdities can make you commit atrocities - Voltaire


 Posted by PicasaWe know that dictators are quick to choose aggression, while free nations strive to resolve differences in peace.

~George W. Bush

The question in my mind is how many additional American casualties is Saddam worth? And the answer is not very damned many.

~Dick Cheney

About the quote: Speaking to the Discovery Institute after the first Gulf War, on 8/14/1992, when he was Secretary of Defense.

Death has a tendency to encourage a depressing view of war.

~Donald Rumsfeld

Peace is the virtue of civilization. War is its crime.

~Victor Hugo

Patriotism means to stand by the country. It does not mean to stand by the president or any other public official...


~Theodore Roosevelt

I'm fed up to the ears with old men dreaming up wars for young men to die in.

~George McGovern


War creates peace like hate creates love.

~David L. Wilson

In times of universal deceit, telling the truth will be a revolutionary act.

~George Orwell

What exactly are we fighting for?


 Posted by PicasaLee Shelton: If winning the "war on terror" means losing our freedom, then what exactly are we fighting for?

Contrary to popular belief, tyranny isn't limited to Third World dictatorships. While Bush, Rumsfeld and Cheney are deciding when and where to strike next, the freedoms of U.S. citizens are being eroded.

We have the PATRIOT Act which makes every American a potential terrorist suspect. Campaign Finance Reform is crushing freedom of speech. Washington bureaucrats want your children to undergo mandatory mental health screenings. Thanks to the Real ID Act, we will all be forced to carry national ID cards. The Bush administration talks about fighting terrorists "over there," but has done nothing to secure our borders over here. You'd think that the neocons would at least feign interest in fighting to maintain the same liberties here at home they claim to be fighting for everywhere else in the world.

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"Wake Me Up When September Ends"

Summer has come and passed
The innocent can never last
wake me up when september ends

like my fathers come to pass
seven years has gone so fast
wake me up when september ends

here comes the rain again
falling from the stars
drenched in my pain again
becoming who we are

as my memory rests
but never forgets what I lost
wake me up when september ends

summer has come and passed
the innocent can never last
wake me up when september ends

ring out the bells again
like we did when spring began
wake me up when september ends

here comes the rain again
falling from the stars
drenched in my pain again
becoming who we are

as my memory rests
but never forgets what I lost
wake me up when september ends

Summer has come and passed
The innocent can never last
wake me up when september ends

like my father's come to pass
twenty years has gone so fast
wake me up when september ends
wake me up when september ends
wake me up when september ends
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