In 9 years South Africa projected to be a banana republic ruled by Colombian/Somalia-styled gangs

By 2018-2020 there is increasing government intolerance of opposition , with the media set to be gagged. The ANC enters the 2019 election on the defensive, aware of the discontent and its grip on power slipping fast. The loaded political environment puts a question mark over the fairness of the election, resulting in accusations of a Zimbabwe-type filling of state institutions with ruling party lackeys. A spiral of resistance and repression is unleashed, leading to social and political instability, with investors fleeing. A state of emergency is declared and SA goes from a developing democracy to a banana republic.

SHOOT: These are a certainty: increased crime, increased corruption, increased unemployment, increased unhappiness. Government is likely to respond to dissent with increasing harshness, a la Zimbabwe. Thus the oppressed complete the circle, becoming the obvious oppressors even of their own people.

clipped from www.businessday.co.za “The first-line victims of criminals are the working poor, those who still earn wages, who are robbed or pickpocketed on the taxis that take them to and from work. The elite are also targeted but generally they live in well- guarded homes,” the document reads. With elections looming in 2014 and the ensuing social pressure, the emergence of a strong autocratic leader to restore public order becomes increasingly appealing . The ANC is restored to power due to a placated public service and the very poor who are living off social grants from the state. But “the shadows lengthen” and the cracks in the system deepen . By 2015-2017 a worst-case scenario develops into a situation where unaccountable but powerful groupings outside the government provide protection or deliver services in exchange for support and patronage . The scenario suggests that “it is not inconceivable that we could end up with a Colombian mafia- type scenario where gangs become a form of social delivery” .