Saturday, November 19, 2005

Time's Up


I have 20 minutes before this internet cafe closes, so I will do my best.

This morning I started re-reading the princeton professor Deffeyes' book called Beyond Oil. It is a fascinating and disturbing read, even the second time around. He is one of several geologists (he also studied for a spell in Cambridge, the photo above is from Oxford) who predicted Thanksgiving 2005 as the Day Peak Oil Hits Home. He offers a month as a margin for error, but chose November 25 because we ought to be grateful for the 1904-2005 Cheap Oil Fiesta we've had.
History may record an arbitrary day in November or December this year, or possibly some month in 2006. It is a certainty, unless we come upon alienj technology, that we are going to begin to struggle down a slippery slope very soon.

Indicators appear to show that oil may not climb much between now and November 25. Does that mean Defeeyes is wrong? It just means, that sadly, on Thanksgiving Day we won't have any real sense of what we ought to be thankfor for. Or have any idea of what sort of new years resolutions will have any meaning.

Daniel, despite what you said about being 'misunderstood' in Bloemfontein, I actually have some supporters here, but I can only count them on one hand. I'll try to be patient, but also not cast too many pearls before swine.

I am looking forward to my interview with Bragg. I have already jotted down 16 questions which will shift paradigms, believe me. One of them is probing the likelihood of a recombination of H5N1 with Aids. I believe we have no idea what is becoming possible in an increasing tipped world, where chaos is increasingly seen as 'the process of change'.

On a more 'down to earth' level (arguably), today I am going to watch the rugby (Wales vs the Springbucks). Did you know New Zealand got the world cup and the associated investments...$7 billion worth...though I write under correction. It might be R7 billion - not sure of the currency. It probably is time New Zealand got it. We put on the Soccer World Cup in 2010 but can South Africa produce a side that will participate in this World Cup Event we intend to host?

I have a meeting in a few minutes, and then I'm going to a braai (barbeque) later this afternoon. There's a jacuzzi, so am going to attempt to relax in the tub.

I still haven't organised the Wild Coast trip. If you see nothing on this blog for about a week, it's because I'm essentially 'in the wilderness'.
I skipped this morning's cycling race as I still feel my body needs to fully restore itself. The stress of the last few days and weeks has been immense. I am feeling better every day, and more confident about the direction I've taken and the decisions I've made.

I can not imagine doing things any other way than what I am doing. Well, I can, but I'm referring to sane strategies.

My computer, an essential tool, is being dismantled and dismembered, and will hopefully soon be airborne 'in stukke' - in pieces.
I will try to arrange access at the magazine where they have broadband connections and a good system in the meantime.
I will try very soon to find my own HQ, a humble abode close to work, no doubt. And perhaps I'd buy a small scooter or a small second hand car to get me to and from my base of operations.
I can't wait to be swimming in open air pools under brilliant warm white sunshine and cycling over long roads through the countryside. In a few days I'll be restored to a lighter and browner version of the current me. Efficiency is about to become non-negotiable, but we can make up for that with our bodies and minds.

And there is always a silver lining. There are many.

How to reduce CO2 emissions?
Run out of oil.

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